Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 82% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 81% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 80% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 76% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 75% |
| Match Winner | 74% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 73% |
| Map 2 Winner | 51% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 51% |
| Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 28% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 25% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 23% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 23% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-8.5) vs Eternal Fire (+8.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-11.5) vs Eternal Fire (+11.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: karmine corp vs eternal fire (bo3) - vct emea group omega stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT E… on Best Prediction Markets UK
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