Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 74% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+5.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+3.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+5.5) | 26% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+4.5) | 26% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+3.5) | 26% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: g2 gozen vs karmine corp gc (bo3) - vct game changers emea group stage. This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Gozen and Karmine Corp GC in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 27 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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