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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 99% O/U 2.5 Games 69% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Volume: $237K Liquidity: $228K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.599%
O/U 2.5 Games69%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.559%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)50%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)42%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)39%
Map 2 Winner35%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.524%
Match Winner19%
Map 1 Winner11%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: furia esports vs mibr (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between FURIA Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 26 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Espor…

Methodology

We track Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas… on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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