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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) 100% Volume: $417K Liquidity: $19 Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+8.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-9.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-10.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+10.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: evil geniuses vs krü esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 3 match between Evil Geniuses and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

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