Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hammarby Fotboll 1 - 1 RSC Anderlecht | 100% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 0 - 0 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 0 - 1 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 1 - 0 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 0 - 2 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 2 - 0 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 0 - 3 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 1 - 2 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 2 - 1 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 3 - 0 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 1 - 3 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 2 - 2 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 3 - 1 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 2 - 3 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 3 - 2 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 3 - 3 RSC Anderlecht | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Hammarby Fotboll’s Europa League tie with RSC Anderlecht is being priced very differently across venues: the prediction market sits at **0% YES** for this exact-score contract, while bookmaker-style comparison data for the same pairing has historically implied a much broader scoring distribution, with 1x2 lines such as -136, 310 and 360 attached to Hammarby at home[2]. That gap matters because exact-score markets are much more sensitive than match-winner lines; a low headline probability on one listed scoreline can still coexist with a lively total-goals expectation, especially if traders expect a result to land in “any other score” rather than the named outcome. Hammarby also carried a strong attacking comparison in head-to-head data, with FootyStats rating them 38% better for goals scored, which points towards a match profile where precise score selection is harder than simply backing a winner[1].
The main catalysts are team news, the final confirmed line-ups, and any late change to the competition schedule, because this contract only settles on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. For a market showing a zero per cent YES price, traders should watch for pre-match information that shifts expectations on tempo or rotation, particularly if Anderlecht choose a more conservative away setup or if Hammarby are forced into changes that alter their goal expectation. Any postponement would also keep the market open until the fixture is completed, so the operational status of the match remains relevant right up to kick-off and beyond if there is disruption.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - Exact Score on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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