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HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $105K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
HNK Hajduk Split O/U 0.5100%
HNK Hajduk Split O/U 1.5100%
HNK Hajduk Split 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
HNK Hajduk Split 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
MŠK Žilina (-1.5)0%
HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5)0%
MŠK Žilina (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
HNK Hajduk Split O/U 2.50%
MŠK Žilina O/U 0.50%
MŠK Žilina O/U 1.50%
MŠK Žilina O/U 2.50%
HNK Hajduk Split 1st Half O/U 1.50%
MŠK Žilina 1st Half O/U 0.50%
MŠK Žilina 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
HNK Hajduk Split 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
MŠK Žilina 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
MŠK Žilina 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, hnk hajduk split vs. mšk žilina - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for July 9 at 2:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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