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PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $194K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)0%
Qairat FK (-1.5)0%
PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)0%
Qairat FK (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.50%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.50%
Qairat FK O/U 0.50%
Qairat FK O/U 1.50%
Qairat FK O/U 2.50%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.50%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Qairat FK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Qairat FK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Qairat FK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Qairat FK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Levski Sofia are playing Kairat in a UEFA Champions League qualifying tie in Sofia, and the “more markets” contract is pricing in whether ancillary match outcomes land somewhere outside the main win/draw/qualifier framing. The crowd-implied probability at 0% suggests the market is treating this as a long-shot or unresolved side line, which is notably more sceptical than model-based football sites that still give the tie a live, low-scoring edge: FootyStats shows both sides with strong defensive numbers and modest goal averages, while APWin’s pre-match projections point to a tight contest with Levski stronger at home and Kairat carrying a slightly better away scoring profile.[2][10]

Historical context favours caution with any binary read across secondary markets because the head-to-head sample is small and evenly balanced. UEFA’s head-to-head page lists the pairing, while SoccerPunter’s aggregate record shows Levski unbeaten across four meetings overall, but with only two wins at home and two draws away, which is not enough to justify certainty on derivative markets.[5][3] Comparable recent form pages also point to a narrow margins game rather than a high-event one: BBC’s live stats summary shows Levski have scored 8 and conceded 3 in the competition run-up, while Kairat have scored 5 and conceded 2.[1]

For traders, the main catalysts are team news, late line-up changes and any schedule or venue confirmation close to kick-off. Sky Sports and Yahoo Sports both list the match for 6:30pm local time in Sofia, while Global Sports Archive gives the 19:30 listing, so time-zone and feed alignment matter for settlement timing and live-market liquidity.[8][6][9] With ESPN’s live match centre already tracking in-play data, any early goal, red card or confirmed rotation from either side could quickly move the probability on “more markets” legs that depend on corners, cards, offsides or both-teams-to-score style outcomes.[12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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