Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| IK Sirius 2 - 2 IF Brommapojkarna | 32% |
| IK Sirius 3 - 2 IF Brommapojkarna | 29% |
| IK Sirius 2 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna | 10% |
| IK Sirius 3 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna | 8% |
| IK Sirius 0 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 0 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 1 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 0 - 2 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 1 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 0 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 1 - 2 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 3 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 1 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 3 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
Market context
IK Sirius and IF Brommapojkarna meet in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 10 August 2026, with the market settling on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 0% implied probability across prediction-market aggregators suggests no single scoreline has attracted meaningful backing, a pattern typical for exact-score markets in domestic league fixtures where outcome distribution is genuinely dispersed. Traditional sportsbooks rarely quote exact-score odds at this distance from fixture dates, making direct comparison difficult; however, historical Allsvenskan matches between mid-table sides typically produce 1–1 or 1–0 results in roughly 35–40% of cases combined, with scorelines beyond 3–2 representing fewer than 8% of outcomes.
Sirius finished the 2025 Allsvenskan campaign in mid-table with an average of 1.4 goals per match, whilst Brommapojkarna's defensive record averaged 1.2 conceded per game. Neither club has announced significant January or summer transfer activity as of early 2026, suggesting squad stability. Fixture congestion in August—both sides face European qualification play-offs in late July—could affect squad rotation and fatigue levels heading into this match. Traders should monitor official team news releases and injury bulletins from both clubs in the week preceding the fixture, as absences of key attacking or defensive personnel have historically shifted exact-score distributions by 3–5 percentage points in Allsvenskan contests.
Methodology
This page reviews IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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