St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

St Johnstone’s meeting with Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership has a live prediction-market price of **0% YES** for the “More Markets” contract, which points to the market expecting no qualifying ancillary outcome to settle positively. That looks far lower than the football itself would suggest, because recent head-to-head data are mixed rather than one-sided: one source shows St Johnstone leading the broader rivalry 19 wins to 14 across 38 meetings, while other databases put the overall record level at 25 wins each from 60 matches.[1][2] Recent league results also show the fixture can swing either way, with the last five Premiership meetings split between the sides, including Kilmarnock wins in February 2025 and at the start of that season, but a St Johnstone win in August 2024.[15][19]

For traders, the main catalysts are team news, line-up confirmation and any late change to the match schedule or competition context, because those can materially affect the “more markets” bundle even if the core match odds barely move. Sky’s match data from the last league meeting showed Kilmarnock with more possession and corners, but St Johnstone created the clearer chances, which is the kind of split that can matter for derivative markets tied to shots, cards or goals rather than the result alone.[10] If sportsbook prices are leaning towards a low-event game, that would fit the recent H2H pattern of modest scoring averages, but the prediction market’s **0%** implies either the contract is extremely narrowly defined or the crowd sees the listed settlement condition as effectively impossible without a very specific in-play trigger.[2][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.