Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5) | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5) | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Romania SuperLiga clash between FC Universitatea Cluj and FCV Farul Constanţa took place at Cluj Arena on 19 July 2026, with the match concluding in a 2–1 full-time victory for Universitatea Cluj. This result settled the primary outcome, yet the ancillary “More Markets” contract, which aggregates secondary betting propositions for this fixture, now carries a crowd-implied probability of 0% YES, suggesting the market views the specific conditions as unmet.
Historical data from previous encounters between these sides shows Universitatea Cluj holding a slight edge, with a recent head-to-head record of 2–1 in their favour, mirroring the final scoreline of this match [2]. In comparable SuperLiga fixtures where a team wins 2–1 at home, secondary markets such as “both teams to score” or “over 2.5 goals” typically settle YES, creating a divergence here where prediction markets imply a 0% chance despite the scoreline objectively satisfying many standard thresholds. This discrepancy may reflect unique contract terms or a specific exclusion clause not evident in standard sportsbook lines.
Traders should monitor the official settlement announcement from the prediction market operator, as the 0% probability likely stems from a technical disqualification rather than the match outcome itself. No further announcements or schedule dependencies remain, as the game has concluded and the settlement window closes on 19 July 2026 at 14:00 UTC [1]. The absence of live news updates confirms the event is fully resolved, leaving only the operator’s final ruling as the catalyst for any potential probability shift.
Methodology
This page reviews FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FCV Farul Constanţa - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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