CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

The Peru Liga 1 clash between CD Los Chankas and Sport Boys Association, held at Estadio Los Chankas on 19 July 2026, concluded with a 1–0 home victory for Los Chankas, secured by Jardlén Quintero’s goal. This result validates the prediction market’s 100% YES implied probability, which correctly anticipated a Los Chankas win before the match finished.

Historically, Peru Liga 1 home favourites with odds around -155 (implied 60% chance) win roughly 58% of matches, but when bookmakers shorten them to -104 (51% implied), the actual win rate drops to 49% [1][5]. The divergence here is stark: sportsbooks priced Los Chankas as a modest favourite with a 51% win probability, while the prediction market locked in certainty. Such 100% implied probabilities in live sports markets typically emerge only post-result, suggesting this contract settled after the final whistle, aligning with the confirmed 1–0 scoreline [2][3].

Traders should monitor official Liga 1 settlement confirmations and post-match reports for any disputes over goal validity or match integrity, though no such issues have arisen. The extended highlights confirm Quintero’s goal as the decisive moment, with no late equalisers or VAR overturns reported [4]. With the settlement window closing on 19 July 2026 at 16:00 UTC and the match already completed, the market’s YES outcome is factually secured by the final score.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.