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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Live odds for "Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% O/U 6.5 66% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% O/U 7.5 54% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.573%
O/U 6.566%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
O/U 7.554%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates51%
NRFI47%
O/U 8.546%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.544%
Spread -1.538%
Spread -1.533%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.523%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates — current market-implied probability: 73%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 24 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 73% for "Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $90K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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