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LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 79% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 75% Volume: $905K Liquidity: $589K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner79%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?75%
O/U 2.5 Games58%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?49%
Game 2 Winner41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?1%

Market context

LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Movistar KOI and GAM Esports in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 15 at 9:40AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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