Philadelphia Union vs. Club Necaxa - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Philadelphia Union’s Leagues Cup meeting with Club Necaxa was settled 3-1 at Subaru Park, so the exact-score contract finished in the **3-1** bucket rather than “Any Other Score”. The market’s crowd-implied **0% YES** at the time of settlement was consistent with an exact-score contract trading at a very long price, because each listed scoreline is a narrow slice of the full outcome set and any late goals can push settlement into the fallback category. ESPN and Philadelphia Union’s own match report both record the final as 3-1, with Nathan Harriel scoring early and adding an assist in the eventual home win.[15][8]

For context, recent form pointed to a higher-scoring game than a standard low-total football fixture. Philadelphia had produced 3-2, 1-0 and 3-1 results in its previous MLS matches, while Necaxa came in after a 3-1 loss to Toluca and a 2-1 win over Monterrey, which aligned with analysts leaning towards a Philadelphia victory and a scoreline around 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a shutout.[2][12] Sports Mole’s pre-match model made Philadelphia the favourite at 56.54%, with draw at 23.72% and Necaxa at 19.78%, a useful cross-check against any prediction-market price that had implied an extremely remote exact score.[12]

The main catalysts for traders were the confirmed line-ups, late injury news, and whether either side rotated heavily after the previous round of Leagues Cup fixtures. Both clubs were on compressed schedules, with Philadelphia having played Cruz Azul on 6 August and Necaxa meeting Chicago Fire on 6 August before this tie, so fatigue and squad management were the most obvious variables affecting scoreline distribution.[5][12] Once the match was under way, the fastest-moving inputs were early goals and substitution patterns, since those often decide whether an exact-score market lands in a common bracket such as 1-0, 2-1, 3-1 or falls through to “Any Other Score”.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

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UK Frequently Asked Questions

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