Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino | 0% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf m25 lesa men: gabriele piraino vs lorenzo comino. This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Piraino and Lorenzo Comino in the ITF M25 Lesa Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel…
Methodology
We track ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
Trade ITF M25 Lesa Men: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Comino on Best Prediction Markets UK
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