Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf m25 taipei men: hyeon chung vs hikaru shiraishi. This market refers to the tennis match between Hyeon Chung and Hikaru Shiraishi in the ITF M25 Taipei Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 3:17AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hyeon Ch…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
Trade ITF M25 Taipei Men: Hyeon Chung vs Hikaru Shiraishi on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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