Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

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Market context

Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 12 June at 3:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 10% implied probability, reflecting the difficulty of predicting precise final tallies in international football. Settlement covers only the 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in World Cup group fixtures typically see winning probabilities between 8% and 15% for individual scorelines, given the variance in international play and the number of possible outcomes. Canada's recent form—ranked 41st globally as of early 2026—and Bosnia-Herzegovina's 61st ranking create asymmetry in expected goal distribution, yet group-stage matches frequently produce unexpected defensive solidity or attacking struggles. The 10% figure sits within the normal range for a moderately likely scoreline rather than an outlier, suggesting the market has priced this particular outcome as plausible but not favoured.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations in the weeks preceding the fixture, as absences of key attacking or defensive players materially shift expected goal ranges. Fixture scheduling within the group—whether either side plays their final group match and thus has qualification secured or eliminated—could influence tactical approach and final scorelines. Recent international friendlies involving both nations in the months before June will provide concrete form data; sportsbooks typically adjust exact-score odds only marginally after such matches unless significant personnel changes occur.

Methodology

This page reviews Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.