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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 48% Ends in Daytime 48% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 48% Volume: $228K Liquidity: $711K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime48%
Ends in Daytime48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
First Blood in Game 1?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?47%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
Both Teams Beat Roshan44%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)42%
Game 2 Winner39%
Game 1 Winner37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan35%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks34%
Match Winner32%
Any Player Ultra Kill26%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Ultra Kill22%
Any Player Rampage16%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Market consensus: 52% chance of dota 2: team yandex vs team spirit (bo3) - the international playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 P…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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Trade Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The Inter… on Best Prediction Markets UK

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