Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: eternal premium (-9.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+9.5) | 0% eternal premium | 100% ex-Sashi Academy |
| Match Winner | 100% ex-Sashi Academy | 0% eternal premium |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+1.5) | 0% eternal premium | 100% ex-Sashi Academy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: eternal premium (-3.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+3.5) | 0% eternal premium | 100% ex-Sashi Academy |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 match between Sashi Academy and eternal premium in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier, which concluded on 26 June 2026 with Sashi Academy winning 2–1 in a best-of-three. The market in question, which bets on Sashi Academy winning, now carries a zero per cent implied probability because the outcome is already verified and settled; the match did not end in a tie, was not cancelled, and finished within the seven-day window, so the 50–50 contingency clause does not apply.
Historical precedents in esports prediction markets show that contracts tied to completed matches with verified results on HLTV or Gamers World invariably collapse to zero or one per cent once settlement data is public, as seen in the Kalshi market for total maps on this same fixture, which resolved to “over 2.5 maps” after the 2–1 result was confirmed [2]. This pattern mirrors earlier cases where zero probability was assigned post-match because the event had already occurred, leaving no uncertainty for traders to exploit.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any rare delays beyond seven days or match cancellations, though none apply here, and verify settlement via HLTV or Gamers World to confirm the 2–1 scoreline [1]. Recent coverage from GoGamers confirms the final result and match statistics, eliminating ambiguity about the winner [1]. No further catalysts exist, as the settlement window ended before the current time, and the market is now functionally closed.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium … on Best Prediction Markets UK
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