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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Winner 100% Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5) 100% Volume: $159K Liquidity: $393K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Winner100%
Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs NEW VISION (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs NEW VISION (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-12.5) vs NEW VISION (+12.5)10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-6.5) vs Lilmix (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Lilmix and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 7:00AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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