T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Ireland will face West Indies in a women's T20 match on 1 June 2026 as part of the T20 Ireland Tri-Series. The fixture forms part of a three-team tournament format, with the third participant yet to be confirmed by the International Cricket Council. Settlement hinges on the final result published by ESPNcricinfo, with any on-field resolution mechanism—including Super Overs in tied matches—treated as a decisive outcome for market purposes.

The 100% implied probability reflects the near-certainty that this fixture will proceed as scheduled. Historical precedent from women's T20 tri-series tournaments shows cancellation or postponement rates below 2% once venues and dates are formally announced. Ireland and West Indies have maintained consistent participation in ICC-sanctioned multi-team events; neither nation has withdrawn from scheduled fixtures in the past three years. Weather disruption in early June across Ireland's typical venues remains a minor variable, though tri-series formats typically include reserve dates built into their schedules.

Traders should monitor ICC fixture confirmations and squad announcements, typically released 4–6 weeks before tournament commencement. Any late-stage venue changes or logistical disruptions affecting either team's travel would be signalled through official ICC communications or host-nation cricket boards. Injury updates to key players, whilst affecting match outcome probabilities, do not alter the likelihood of the fixture occurring. The current pricing leaves minimal room for movement unless material evidence of cancellation risk emerges.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.