Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -3.5 | 96% |
| Spread -4.5 | 96% |
| Spread -1.5 | 95% |
| O/U 30.5 | 95% |
| Spread -5.5 | 93% |
| Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Houston 1H O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| Houston 1H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -10.5 | 84% |
| O/U 42.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 77% |
| Spread -14.5 | 76% |
| Spread -16.5 | 69% |
| Spread -17.5 | 69% |
| O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread: Houston (-20.5) | 55% |
| O/U 49.5 | 55% |
| Spread -21.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Houston O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Conner Weigman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makhi Hughes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Amare Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Re'Shaun Sanford II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trent Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Newberry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Patrick Overmyer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Koby Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eddie Freauff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braden Atkinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aeryn Hampton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aaron Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eric Olsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Muizz Tounkara: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavyion Noland: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeCorion Temple: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jesse Legree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harvey Broussard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke McGary: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyson Turner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| O/U 50.5 | 48% |
| O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| O/U 52.5 | 44% |
| Spread -24.5 | 42% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| Spread -27.5 | 24% |
| O/U 60.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Houston 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Houston 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Houston 1H O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Houston 1H O/U 22.5 | 10% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| O/U 66.5 | 6% |
| Oregon State vs. Houston | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 97% YES probability for Oregon State vs. Houston. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If Oregon State wins, the market will resolve to "Oregon State". If Houston wins, the market will resolve to "Houston". …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $92K.
Methodology
This page reviews Oregon State vs. Houston across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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