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Ohio State vs. Texas

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Ohio State vs. Texas" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

O/U 28.5 94% O/U 30.5 90% O/U 32.5 86% O/U 34.5 83% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Ohio State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 28.594%
O/U 30.590%
O/U 32.586%
O/U 34.583%
O/U 36.580%
O/U 38.576%
Texas O/U 18.576%
Ohio State O/U 17.575%
Ohio State O/U 18.574%
2Q O/U 7.574%
Texas O/U 19.573%
O/U 40.572%
O/U 42.572%
4Q O/U 7.569%
Ohio State O/U 20.566%
Texas O/U 21.564%
O/U 44.563%
Ohio State O/U 21.562%
Texas O/U 22.562%
Texas O/U 2.561%
2Q O/U 10.561%
O/U 46.560%
Ohio State O/U 2.558%
O/U 47.557%
4Q O/U 10.557%
Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown56%
Ohio State O/U 23.556%
1Q O/U 7.556%
O/U 48.555%
1Q O/U 4.554%
O/U 49.553%
Spread -0.553%
Spread: Texas (-1.5)52%
2Q O/U 13.552%
Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown51%
Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown51%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown51%
Texas O/U 24.551%
Texas 1H O/U 12.551%
2H O/U 18.551%
4Q O/U 13.551%
2H Moneyline50%
Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Simon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Texas 1H O/U 10.550%
Texas 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 8.550%
Texas 1H O/U 9.550%
Texas 1H O/U 11.550%
Texas 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 10.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 9.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 13.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
Texas 2H O/U 11.550%
Texas 2H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 15.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 13.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 15.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 18.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
O/U 50.549%
1Q Moneyline49%
Texas 1H O/U 15.549%
Texas O/U 25.549%
Spread -2.548%
1H Spread -0.548%
1H Spread -1.548%
Ohio State O/U 24.548%
Ohio State vs. Texas47%
Spread -0.547%
1H Spread -2.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
Spread -1.545%
1H Spread -0.545%
1Q Spread -2.544%
2Q Spread -2.544%
4Q Spread -0.544%
Ohio State O/U 26.544%
1Q O/U 10.544%
O/U 52.543%
2H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -0.543%
4Q Spread -0.543%
Spread -2.543%
1H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -3.543%
2H Spread -2.542%
2Q Spread -1.542%
2H Spread -1.542%
3Q O/U 12.542%
Spread -3.541%
3Q Spread -0.541%
3Q Spread -2.541%
3Q Spread -1.540%
Texas O/U 27.540%
4Q Spread -1.540%
4Q Spread -2.540%
2H Spread -2.540%
1Q O/U 13.540%
Ohio State O/U 27.539%
1H Spread -3.539%
O/U 54.538%
1H O/U 27.538%
2Q O/U 16.538%
Spread -4.537%
4Q Spread -2.537%
2Q Spread -2.537%
Ohio State O/U 3.537%
Texas O/U 28.537%
Spread -3.537%
1Q Spread -3.537%
2Q Spread -3.537%
Spread -5.536%
2H Spread -3.536%
1Q Spread -2.536%
O/U 56.535%
2H Spread -3.535%
1H Spread -3.535%
3Q Spread -3.534%
4Q Spread -3.534%
Spread -6.533%
4Q O/U 16.533%
Ohio State O/U 29.532%
Spread -4.532%
2Q Spread -3.532%
4Q Spread -3.532%
Texas O/U 30.531%
Spread -5.531%
1H O/U 30.531%
O/U 58.530%
2H Spread -5.530%
3Q Spread -3.530%
Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown29%
Spread -27.528%
Spread -34.528%
Ohio State O/U 30.528%
Spread -6.528%
2Q O/U 19.528%
Spread -7.527%
O/U 60.526%
Texas O/U 31.526%
Spread -24.525%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown25%
Spread -9.525%
1Q O/U 16.525%
4Q O/U 19.524%
Spread -8.523%
O/U 62.523%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown22%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown22%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -10.521%
O/U 64.520%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown20%
Spread -8.518%
Spread -13.517%
Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown17%
Spread -31.516%
O/U 66.516%
Spread -11.516%
Spread -12.516%
Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown15%
O/U 68.514%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown14%
Spread -14.513%
Spread -12.512%
Spread -16.511%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -15.59%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -15.56%
Spread -18.56%
Spread -20.55%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -18.55%
Spread -19.55%
Spread -22.55%

Market context

The Ohio State vs. Texas prediction market currently prices this outcome at 94% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. This market will resol…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 28.5 at 94% for "Ohio State vs. Texas".

O/U 28.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $132K.

Methodology

We track Ohio State vs. Texas across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

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Related Topics

Sports