Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 85% |
| Spread -20.5 | 85% |
| Spread -10.5 | 77% |
| Spread -21.5 | 73% |
| O/U 37.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 71% |
| Spread -16.5 | 70% |
| O/U 35.5 | 70% |
| O/U 43.5 | 69% |
| Spread -24.5 | 67% |
| Spread -22.5 | 67% |
| Spread -27.5 | 65% |
| Spread -25.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 64% |
| Spread -14.5 | 61% |
| Spread -30.5 | 60% |
| O/U 47.5 | 59% |
| Spread -29.5 | 59% |
| O/U 45.5 | 58% |
| Spread -28.5 | 57% |
| Spread -17.5 | 55% |
| Spread -31.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| LSU O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| Spread -53.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| LSU O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech 1H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech 1H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dilin Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sam Leavitt: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trey'Dez Green: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Winston Watkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eugene Wilson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Stacy Gage: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayce Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caden Durham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harlem Berry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| LSU O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Dylone Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Andrew Burnette: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Phillip Wright III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Malik Elzy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Malachi Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Blake Baker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eli Finley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Mickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Talyn Shettron: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jay Wilkerson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marcus Calwise Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| David Pierro: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -46.5 | 50% |
| Spread -49.5 | 50% |
| Spread -52.5 | 50% |
| Spread -56.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 49% |
| Spread -18.5 | 49% |
| Spread: LSU (-35.5) | 48% |
| Spread -37.5 | 46% |
| O/U 51.5 | 45% |
| Spread -32.5 | 45% |
| Spread -36.5 | 43% |
| Spread -38.5 | 43% |
| Spread -33.5 | 42% |
| O/U 55.5 | 40% |
| O/U 53.5 | 39% |
| Spread -40.5 | 39% |
| O/U 57.5 | 37% |
| Spread -41.5 | 37% |
| Spread -39.5 | 36% |
| Spread -42.5 | 34% |
| Spread -43.5 | 34% |
| Spread -44.5 | 34% |
| O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 33% |
| O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| Spread -50.5 | 31% |
| O/U 67.5 | 30% |
| O/U 69.5 | 29% |
| O/U 73.5 | 29% |
| O/U 75.5 | 29% |
| O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| O/U 65.5 | 18% |
| O/U 71.5 | 11% |
| Louisiana Tech vs. LSU | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Louisiana Tech vs. LSU prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Louisiana Tech and LSU, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisiana Tech" if Louisiana Tech win the game. This market …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $109K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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