Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly 2H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Cal Poly O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Cal Poly vs. San Jose State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| O/U 77.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| Cal Poly O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -33.5 | 0% |
| Spread -36.5 | 0% |
| Spread -37.5 | 0% |
| Spread -40.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cal Poly 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Cal Poly 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Cal Poly 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| Cal Poly O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Cal Poly O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 45.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cal poly vs. san jose state. In the upcoming college football game between Cal Poly and San Jose State, scheduled for September 12 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cal Poly" if Cal Poly win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
Trade Cal Poly vs. San Jose State on Best Prediction Markets UK
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