Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Chapecoense meet Flamengo in Brazil Série A, with the contract sitting at **0% YES** even though cross-platform pricing points the other way. Polymarket’s separate Flamengo win market has the visitors at **65.5%**, while ESPN Brasil’s preview leaned towards a Flamengo result and quoted a 0-2 prediction from one pundit, so the prediction-market line here is far more extreme than the broader match outlook.[2][3]

That gap matters because the historical backdrop does not support a literal zero. FootyStats’ head-to-head record shows **16 meetings**, with Chapecoense winning **2**, Flamengo **11**, and **3 draws**; that is a strong Flamengo edge, but not a clean sweep.[4] For traders reading “More Markets”, the right comparison is whether the contract is pricing a specific side market as essentially impossible rather than the match itself, because a 0% implied probability usually signals either a thin book, stale pricing, or a condition that analysts do not see as remotely likely.[2][3][4]

The main catalysts are team news and whether Flamengo rotate after the Copa do Mundo break, since the schedule note in the YouTube preview explicitly flags their return to Brasileirão duty.[5] Watch confirmed line-ups, late injuries, and whether the fixture remains set for the stated Wednesday 22 July kick-off at 21:30 Brasília time, which ESPN Brasil listed alongside TV coverage on Globo and Premiere.[3] If Flamengo field a full-strength side, the market is more likely to reprice towards the consensus football view; if there is heavy rotation, the distribution of “more markets” outcomes can widen quickly.[2][3][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.