Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
26% | 74% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
26% | 74% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Vitality | 26% |
| Falcons | 22% |
| Spirit | 22% |
| FURIA | 11% |
| Aurora | 5% |
| G2 | 5% |
| MOUZ | 5% |
| FUT | 4% |
| The MongolZ | 3% |
| GamerLegion | 3% |
| Astralis | 2% |
| magic | 1% |
| paiN | 1% |
| FaZe | 1% |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1% |
| Alliance | 1% |
| EYEBALLERS | 1% |
| HEROIC | 1% |
| Nemesis | 1% |
| SINNERS | 1% |
| 100 Thieves | 1% |
| Nemiga | 1% |
| Liquid | 0% |
| M80 | 0% |
| 3DMAX | 0% |
| Sharks | 0% |
| Gentle Mates | 0% |
| Wildcard | 0% |
| FOKUS | 0% |
| Nuclear TigeRES | 0% |
| HOTU | 0% |
| OG | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 26% chance of blast bounty 2026 season 2: qualify to lan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the 8 teams that make BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 LAN Finals, scheduled for July 30 to August 2, 2026 at BLAST Studio in Malta. If BLAST Bount…
Methodology
We track BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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