🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogView on Polymarket →

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski

Five-platform snapshot of "Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski 100% Completed Match 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $201K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski100%
Completed Match100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 21.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 22.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 23.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 Winner0%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to grodzisk mazowiecki: ivan marrero vs maks kasnikowski. This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Marrero and Maks Kasnikowski in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Ma…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

Trade Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets