Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 22.5 | 98% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi | 38% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cincinnati open, qualification: dusan lajovic vs benjamin bonzi. This market refers to the tennis match between Dusan Lajovic and Benjamin Bonzi in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
Trade Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Ben… on Best Prediction Markets UK
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