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Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka

Five-platform snapshot of "Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 2 Winner 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Match O/U 21.5 75% Volume: $397K Liquidity: $267K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 2 Winner100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Match O/U 21.575%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Match O/U 22.575%
Completed Match50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Match O/U 23.550%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka26%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 1 Winner0%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to grodzisk mazowiecki: andrea guerrieri vs daniil glinka. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Daniil Glinka in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea…

Methodology

This page reviews Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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