Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 99% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 38.5 | 73% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 Winner | 49% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 40.5 | 46% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli | 40% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 Winner | 39% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 5% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: james duckworth vs flavio cobolli. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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