Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to croatia open: roman andres burruchaga vs camilo ugo carabelli. This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
We track Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo … on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →