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Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco 100% Completed Match 100% Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $165K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco100%
Completed Match100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 Winner100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Match O/U 21.5100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Match O/U 22.5100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Match O/U 23.5100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 Winner0%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of quito: felipe meligeni alves vs rodrigo pacheco. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

We track Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco on Best Prediction Markets UK

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Related Topics

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