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Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $171K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca0%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 36.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 40.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 38.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: roberto bautista agut vs joao fonseca stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Joao Fonseca in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca on Best Prediction Markets UK

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Related Topics

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