PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 Memorial Tournament presented by Workday will take place at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically held in early June. The event ranks among the PGA Tour's most prestigious regular-season tournaments, attracting elite fields and offering substantial purses. Historical winners include major champions and consistent tour performers, with the course's design favouring precise ball-striking and course management over raw distance.

The 0% implied probability on this particular contract suggests either that no listed player has been designated for this market, or that the market structure itself carries settlement constraints that traders perceive as prohibitively restrictive. Comparable PGA Tour event markets typically show distributed probabilities across 15–25 named contenders, with favourites ranging from 4–8% depending on field strength and recent form. The absence of any probability mass here warrants verification of whether eligible players have been listed and whether the "Other" resolution category—triggered if an unlisted player wins—creates adverse selection dynamics that discourage participation.

Traders monitoring this market should track PGA Tour scheduling confirmations and field announcements, typically released 4–6 weeks before the tournament. Recent PGA Tour communications regarding the 2026 schedule remain limited, though the tour has signalled stability in its core event calendar following recent governance changes. Course conditions at Muirfield Village, player injury status, and any shifts in tour membership will influence perceived value. The settlement window closing on 7 June 2026 leaves minimal arbitrage opportunity post-tournament conclusion, making pre-event pricing the critical reference point for comparative analysis against traditional sportsbook lines.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.