Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
75% | 25% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Yahia Fofana: 2+ saves | 75% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots | 72% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots | 70% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots | 63% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists | 62% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | 53% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots | 52% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals + assists | 51% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots on target | 51% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals + assists | 51% |
| Yahia Fofana: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Egil Selvik: 2+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 3+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 4+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 5+ saves | 49% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots | 45% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 5+ shots | 40% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists | 33% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists | 31% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots | 29% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | 27% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target | 27% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ assists | 27% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | 23% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals | 23% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ assists | 23% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots | 22% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists | 21% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target | 20% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ assists | 18% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots | 15% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | 13% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assists | 11% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals | 9% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 5+ shots | 9% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ assists | 9% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals | 8% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | 6% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ assists | 4% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals | 2% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 75% YES probability for Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
We track Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →