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Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners

Five-platform snapshot of "Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Corners: O/U 6.5 79% Japan Corners: O/U 2.5 74% 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 72% Total Corners: O/U 7.5 70% Volume: $174K Liquidity: $857K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Corners: O/U 6.579%
Japan Corners: O/U 2.574%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.572%
Total Corners: O/U 7.570%
Team to Take First Corner63%
Brazil Corners: O/U 4.563%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.562%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.554%
Total Corners: O/U 8.553%
Japan Corners: O/U 3.551%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
Brazil Corners: O/U 5.549%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.543%
Total Corners: O/U 9.542%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.539%
Total Corners: O/U 10.533%
Brazil Corners: O/U 6.532%
Japan Corners: O/U 4.532%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.527%
Total Corners: O/U 11.523%
Total Corners: O/U 12.513%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 79% probability to brazil vs. japan - total corners. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Brazil vs. Japan - Total Corners across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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