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Argentina vs. Egypt - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Argentina vs. Egypt - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals 100% Lionel Messi: 1+ goals 100% Mostafa Zico: 1+ goals 100% Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots 100% Volume: $560K Liquidity: $62K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Argentina vs. Egypt - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals100%
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals100%
Mostafa Zico: 1+ goals100%
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots100%
Cristian Romero: 1+ shots100%
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots100%
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots100%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots100%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots100%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots100%
Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots100%
Mostafa Zico: 1+ shots100%
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shots100%
Yasser Ibrahim: 1+ shots100%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists100%
Lionel Messi: 1+ assists100%
Cristian Romero: 1+ shots on target100%
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots on target100%
Lionel Messi: 1+ shots on target100%
Mostafa Zico: 1+ shots on target100%
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals + assists100%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assists100%
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists100%
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists100%
Mostafa Zico: 1+ goals + assists100%
Haissem Hassan: 1+ assists100%
Haissem Hassan: 1+ goals + assists100%
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots90%
Yasser Ibrahim: 1+ shots on target77%
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots on target51%
Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target51%
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shots on target51%
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on target50%
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots on target50%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots on target50%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots on target50%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots on target50%
Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target50%
Lionel Messi: 4+ shots on target50%
Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots on target50%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots on target50%
Mohanad Lasheen: 1+ shots on target50%
Mostafa Zico: 2+ shots on target50%
Nahuel Molina: 1+ shots on target50%
Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ shots on target50%
Mostafa Zico: 2+ shots49%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots49%
Yasser Ibrahim: 2+ shots49%
Marawan Attia: 1+ shots48%
Mohamed Hany: 1+ shots48%
Mohanad Lasheen: 1+ shots48%
Ramy Rabia: 1+ shots48%
Nahuel Molina: 1+ shots25%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots18%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots16%
Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shots10%
Ahmed Fetouh: 1+ shots on target10%
Nahuel Molina: 2+ shots7%
Emam Ashour: 1+ shots on target7%
Lautaro Martínez: 5+ shots6%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots on target6%
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shots1%
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals0%
Emam Ashour: 1+ goals0%
Emam Ashour: 2+ goals0%
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goals0%
Exequiel Palacios: 1+ goals0%
Exequiel Palacios: 2+ goals0%
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goals0%
Giovani Lo Celso: 2+ goals0%
Giovani Lo Celso: 3+ goals0%
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals0%
Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goals0%
Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goals0%
Haissem Hassan: 1+ goals0%
Haissem Hassan: 2+ goals0%
Hamza Abdelkarim: 1+ goals0%
Hamza Abdelkarim: 2+ goals0%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals0%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals0%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals0%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals0%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals0%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals0%
Leandro Paredes: 1+ goals0%
Leandro Paredes: 2+ goals0%
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals0%
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals0%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals0%
Mostafa Zico: 2+ goals0%
Nicolás González: 1+ goals0%
Nicolás González: 2+ goals0%
Nicolás Paz: 1+ goals0%
Nicolás Paz: 2+ goals0%
Nicolás Paz: 3+ goals0%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals0%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goals0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ goals0%
Thiago Almada: 1+ goals0%
Thiago Almada: 2+ goals0%
Thiago Almada: 3+ goals0%
Trezeguet: 1+ goals0%
Trezeguet: 2+ goals0%
Ahmed Fetouh: 1+ shots0%
Ahmed Fetouh: 2+ shots0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shots0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ shots0%
Cristian Romero: 2+ shots0%
Cristian Romero: 3+ shots0%
Emam Ashour: 1+ shots0%
Emam Ashour: 2+ shots0%
Emam Ashour: 3+ shots0%
Emam Ashour: 4+ shots0%
Enzo Fernández: 4+ shots0%
Enzo Fernández: 5+ shots0%
Facundo Medina: 1+ shots0%
Facundo Medina: 2+ shots0%
Facundo Medina: 3+ shots0%
Lisandro Martínez: 3+ shots0%
Marawan Attia: 2+ shots0%
Mohamed Hany: 2+ shots0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots0%
Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots0%
Mohamed Salah: 4+ shots0%
Mohamed Salah: 5+ shots0%
Mohanad Lasheen: 2+ shots0%
Mostafa Zico: 3+ shots0%
Mostafa Zico: 4+ shots0%
Nahuel Molina: 3+ shots0%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots0%
Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots0%
Omar Marmoush: 4+ shots0%
Omar Marmoush: 5+ shots0%
Ramy Rabia: 2+ shots0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ shots0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 3+ shots0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ shots0%
Thiago Almada: 1+ shots0%
Thiago Almada: 2+ shots0%
Thiago Almada: 3+ shots0%
Thiago Almada: 4+ shots0%
Thiago Almada: 5+ shots0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assists0%
Emam Ashour: 1+ assists0%
Emam Ashour: 2+ assists0%
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assists0%
Enzo Fernández: 2+ assists0%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assists0%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ assists0%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assists0%
Leandro Paredes: 1+ assists0%
Leandro Paredes: 2+ assists0%
Lionel Messi: 2+ assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ assists0%
Mostafa Zico: 1+ assists0%
Mostafa Zico: 2+ assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ assists0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ assists0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ assists0%
Thiago Almada: 1+ assists0%
Thiago Almada: 2+ assists0%
Cristian Romero: 2+ shots on target0%
Emam Ashour: 2+ shots on target0%
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shots on target0%
Facundo Medina: 1+ shots on target0%
Facundo Medina: 2+ shots on target0%
Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shots on target0%
Marawan Attia: 1+ shots on target0%
Mohamed Hany: 1+ shots on target0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ shots on target0%
Mohamed Salah: 3+ shots on target0%
Nahuel Molina: 2+ shots on target0%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots on target0%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ shots on target0%
Omar Marmoush: 3+ shots on target0%
Ramy Rabia: 1+ shots on target0%
Thiago Almada: 1+ shots on target0%
Thiago Almada: 2+ shots on target0%
Thiago Almada: 3+ shots on target0%
Juan Musso: 2+ saves0%
Juan Musso: 3+ saves0%
Juan Musso: 4+ saves0%
Juan Musso: 5+ saves0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 2+ saves0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 3+ saves0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 4+ saves0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 5+ saves0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ goals + assists0%
Emam Ashour: 1+ goals + assists0%
Emam Ashour: 2+ goals + assists0%
Emam Ashour: 3+ goals + assists0%
Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assists0%
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goals + assists0%
Enzo Fernández: 3+ goals + assists0%
Enzo Fernández: 4+ goals + assists0%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Leandro Paredes: 1+ goals + assists0%
Leandro Paredes: 2+ goals + assists0%
Leandro Paredes: 3+ goals + assists0%
Leandro Paredes: 4+ goals + assists0%
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals + assists0%
Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals + assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals + assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals + assists0%
Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assists0%
Mostafa Zico: 2+ goals + assists0%
Mostafa Zico: 3+ goals + assists0%
Mostafa Zico: 4+ goals + assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals + assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 2+ goals + assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals + assists0%
Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assists0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goals + assists0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ goals + assists0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 3+ goals + assists0%
Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ goals + assists0%
Thiago Almada: 1+ goals + assists0%
Thiago Almada: 2+ goals + assists0%
Thiago Almada: 3+ goals + assists0%
Thiago Almada: 4+ goals + assists0%
Emam Ashour: 5+ shots0%
Haissem Hassan: 2+ assists0%
Haissem Hassan: 2+ goals + assists0%
Haissem Hassan: 3+ goals + assists0%
Haissem Hassan: 4+ goals + assists0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Argentina vs. Egypt - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Egypt, scheduled for July 7 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Argentina vs. Egypt - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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