Market statistics
- Total volume
- $632K
- 24h volume
- $630K
- Liquidity
- $1.0M
- Open interest
- $367K
Available prediction outcomes (3)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Wales and Ghana are scheduled to contest a FIFA International Friendly on Tuesday, 2 June 2026. The match forms part of the pre-tournament preparation window ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America. The 0% implied probability on this prediction market reflects either minimal trading volume or a technical settlement quirk, as major sportsbooks typically assign non-zero odds to both outcomes in friendlies between established international sides.
Historical precedent suggests caution in reading extreme probabilities for international friendlies. Wales and Ghana have met twice competitively in World Cup qualification (2013–14 cycle), with Ghana winning both encounters. However, friendly matches—particularly those scheduled months in advance—carry substantial uncertainty around team selection, injury status, and tactical priorities. The 2026 window will occur after domestic seasons conclude, potentially affecting squad availability and player fitness across both nations.
Traders should monitor squad announcements from both federations as the fixture approaches, typically released 10–14 days beforehand. Injury developments affecting key players, managerial changes, or late fixture rescheduling could shift market expectations materially. Comparative odds from major sportsbooks (Betfair, DraftKings, Sky Bet) should reveal whether the 0% reading reflects genuine consensus or simply thin liquidity on this particular contract. Recent friendly results for both sides in early 2026 will also inform late-market repricing.
Wikipedia Context
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Wa West (Ghana parliament constituency)Wa West is one of the constituencies represented in the Parliament of Ghana. It elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election. Peter Lanchene Toobu is the member of parliament for the constituency. Wa West is located in the Wa West district of the Upper West Region of Ghana.
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Water supply and sanitation in GhanaThe water supply and sanitation sector in Ghana is a sector that is in charge of the supply of healthy water and also improves the sanitation of water bodies in the country.
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Cetacean strandings in GhanaCetacean strandings in Ghana appear to be becoming more common. Whales washing ashore may be due to ship strike, population dynamics, or an increase in human coverage and reporting. There are at least 28 species of cetaceans — seven baleen whales and 21 toothed whales — in the Gulf of Guinea, of which Ghana’s coast covers 550 km from Aflao to Axim. Scientifi
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Wali language (Gur)
Wali is a Mabia or Gur language of Ghana that is spoken mainly in and nearby the town of Wa, the capital town of the Upper West Region, Ghana. In the Upper West Region, there are two predominant ethnic groups, the Mole Dagbon (75.7%) and the Grusi (18.4%). The Wala (16.3%) of the Mole Dagbon and the Sissala (16%) of the Grusi are the major subgroupings in th
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Wales vs. Ghana on PolyGram
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