Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Mexico (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ghana (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Mexico (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ghana (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Mexico and Ghana are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 22 May 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The prediction market in question concerns whether additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. The 100% implied probability suggests near-certainty that supplementary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or player performance props—will be made available alongside standard match-outcome wagering.
Historical precedent indicates that friendlies involving established federations like Mexico's typically attract multi-market coverage from major sportsbooks. UEFA and CONMEBOL fixtures routinely see 15–25 distinct market types within 48 hours of kickoff, whilst lower-profile international matches occasionally settle with only core markets (1X2, over/under goals). Mexico's commercial profile and Ghana's growing visibility in global betting markets suggest sufficient liquidity demand. However, the May 2026 timing falls outside major tournament windows, which can reduce sportsbook appetite for extended market proliferation on friendlies.
Traders should monitor sportsbook announcements in early May 2026 and track whether either federation confirms squad lists or injury updates, as these often trigger market expansion. Regulatory changes in key jurisdictions—particularly the UK and US—may also influence how many markets operators choose to list. The current 100% probability reflects confidence in baseline market availability rather than certainty about the breadth of offerings; divergence between this contract and actual sportsbook behaviour would emerge only once operators publish their final market slates within days of the match.
Methodology
This page reviews Mexico vs. Ghana - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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