Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Everton FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Everton FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Tottenham Hotspur will host Everton at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 24 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture scheduled for 11:00 AM ET. The 100% implied probability on this contract reflects settlement certainty rather than match outcome confidence; the market is pricing the fixture itself as certain to occur, with settlement contingent on the game taking place as scheduled. This pricing pattern is typical for late-season Premier League matches where fixture postponement risk is minimal and administrative cancellation is exceptionally rare.
Historical precedent suggests that Premier League matches scheduled for May rarely face postponement outside extraordinary circumstances. Since 2015, fewer than 2% of May fixtures have been called off, and those instances typically involved stadium safety issues or major civil unrest rather than standard scheduling conflicts. The 100% probability here should be read as the market's assessment that administrative or logistical barriers to the match occurring are negligible, not as a prediction of either team's performance or the match outcome itself.
Traders should monitor team injury bulletins and European competition schedules in the weeks preceding settlement. If either club qualifies for European competition requiring a mid-week fixture shortly after 24 May, fixture congestion could theoretically trigger a reschedule, though this remains unlikely given the Premier League's fixture calendar planning. Recent reporting from Sky Sports and official Premier League communications have confirmed the May 24 date as fixed within the 2025–26 season schedule, with no indication of potential changes.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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