Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Burnley and Wolverhampton meet on 24 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture with significant end-of-season implications. The 28% crowd-implied probability for a Burnley victory reflects a market view that favours either a Wolves win or a draw. This settlement window closes at 15:00 on match day, allowing traders minimal reaction time to late team news or weather developments.

Historical fixture data between these clubs shows Burnley has won roughly one-third of their encounters over the past five seasons, whilst Wolves have edged the head-to-head record slightly. The current 28% probability sits notably below Burnley's typical win-rate against mid-table opposition, suggesting the crowd is pricing in either a Wolves form advantage or a Burnley injury crisis at the fixture date. Comparable Premier League matches involving lower-ranked sides in May have settled near 30–35% for the underdog, so the market sits at the conservative end of that range.

Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding the match, particularly regarding squad rotation—both sides may have European qualification or relegation battles unresolved. Pitch condition reports and any late managerial changes warrant attention. Sportsbook lines typically tighten 48 hours before kick-off; any divergence between current 28% and major bookmaker odds (typically displayed as decimal or fractional) would signal where sharp money is moving. Fixture congestion and injury updates from official club channels remain the primary catalysts for probability shifts before settlement.

Methodology

This page reviews Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.