Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Hull City and Middlesbrough will meet in an EFL Championship fixture on 23 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 10:30 AM ET. The 0% crowd-implied probability on this "More Markets" contract suggests traders are pricing near-zero likelihood of whatever specific outcome or condition the market is tracking—a stark divergence from typical sportsbook pricing on Championship matches, where even heavily favoured outcomes rarely trade below 5–10% implied probability. This extreme skew warrants scrutiny: either the contract's settlement criteria are exceptionally narrow, or the market has attracted minimal liquidity and reflects a small sample of early positions rather than consensus.

Historical precedent shows that Championship play-off fixtures and late-season encounters often exhibit volatile odds across platforms. When comparable matches have been priced at 0% on prediction markets whilst sportsbooks offered 15–25% on related outcomes, the gap typically reflects either illiquidity on the prediction market side or a genuine mismatch in how settlement terms are interpreted. Recent Championship scheduling announcements have confirmed the May 2026 fixture calendar; neither club has reported significant squad disruptions as of late 2025, though injury lists and managerial changes remain fluid variables through spring.

Traders monitoring this contract should track team news releases, official EFL communications regarding fixture integrity, and any late changes to kick-off time or venue—factors that could trigger settlement disputes. Cross-platform comparison with major sportsbooks (Sky Bet, Betfair, William Hill) will clarify whether the 0% reading reflects genuine market consensus or thin order books on this specific contract variant.

Methodology

We track Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.