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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? 99% Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1? 99% Volume: $703K Liquidity: $259K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?99%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?99%
Match Winner89%
Game 2 Winner76%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?52%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 120.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: team spirit vs mouz (bo2) - esports world cup group c. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team S…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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