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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets UK.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $677K Liquidity: $615K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: lgd gaming vs og (bo2) - esports world cup group d. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and OG in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 8 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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