Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets UK Pick polygram.ink |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 92% Vitality | 9% 9z |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 28% Over | 73% Under |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | 70% Vitality | 31% 9z |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) | 35% Vitality | 66% 9z |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 40% Over | 61% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) | 44% Vitality | 56% 9z |
Market context
Market consensus: 92% chance of counter-strike: vitality vs 9z (bo3) - iem cologne major stage 3. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Vitality and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 12:30PM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne M… on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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