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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $283K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: sparta vs mouz nxt (bo3) - esl challenger league europe cup #4 group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SPARTA and MOUZ NXT in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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Trade Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Chall… on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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