Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets UK Pick polygram.ink |
61% | 39% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
61% | 39% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 61% Natus Vincere | 39% Legacy |
| Map 2 Winner | 68% Natus Vincere | 33% Legacy |
| Match Winner | 69% Natus Vincere | 32% Legacy |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) | 41% Natus Vincere | 60% Legacy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) | 42% Natus Vincere | 59% Legacy |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% Over | 52% Under |
Market context
The Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Natus Vincere and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "N…
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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