Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs LPH Gaming (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs LPH Gaming (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-12.5) vs LPH Gaming (+12.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-3.5) vs LPH Gaming (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Passion Academy (-6.5) vs LPH Gaming (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LPH Gaming (-9.5) vs Passion Academy (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: LPH (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PSN.A (-1.5) vs LPH Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between LPH Gaming and Passion Academy in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for July 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LPH Gaming" if…
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Passion Academy (BO3) … on Best Prediction Markets UK
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