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Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) 100% Volume: $690K Liquidity: $994K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Match Winner48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)23%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs Luminosity (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-9.5) vs NIP (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: luminosity vs nip (bo3) - xse pro league group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Luminosity and NIP in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 1:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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